Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012793 0.014476 0.016183 0.018037 0.019990 0.021978 0.024151
2025-04-20 0.009802 0.012413 0.015194 0.018343 0.021780 0.025391 0.029446
2025-04-27 0.007384 0.010453 0.013875 0.017890 0.022398 0.027245 0.032794
2025-05-04 0.005543 0.008829 0.012666 0.017316 0.022670 0.028534 0.035352
2025-05-11 0.004531 0.008024 0.012267 0.017545 0.023734 0.030607 0.038683
2025-05-18 0.003553 0.007115 0.011634 0.017405 0.024297 0.032050 0.041250
2025-05-25 0.002590 0.006074 0.010730 0.016854 0.024308 0.032806 0.042988
2025-06-01 0.001871 0.005246 0.010013 0.016462 0.024452 0.033667 0.044804
2025-06-08 0.001288 0.004501 0.009329 0.016054 0.024531 0.034416 0.046457
2025-06-15 0.000931 0.004047 0.008998 0.016061 0.025084 0.035698 0.048703
2025-06-22 0.000555 0.003426 0.008362 0.015626 0.025061 0.036272 0.050106
2025-06-29 0.000228 0.002698 0.007481 0.014804 0.024512 0.036187 0.050712
2025-07-06 0.000018 0.001904 0.006435 0.013783 0.023795 0.036025 0.051395
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001676 0.006329 0.014108 0.024848 0.038063 0.054751
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001243 0.005762 0.013717 0.024940 0.038910 0.056680
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000852 0.005159 0.013215 0.024847 0.039501 0.058282
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000699 0.005026 0.013416 0.025685 0.041241 0.061256
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000499 0.004707 0.013293 0.026064 0.042393 0.063507
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000278 0.004196 0.012810 0.025919 0.042863 0.064914
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000137 0.003794 0.012467 0.025945 0.043532 0.066550
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000045 0.003408 0.012111 0.025929 0.044133 0.068090
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000012 0.003234 0.012117 0.026420 0.045380 0.070417
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.002873 0.011738 0.026335 0.045866 0.071794